Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.129716 4.455799 4.805930 5.211656 5.671161 6.178160 6.783666
2025-03-23 3.640129 4.102347 4.633244 5.295856 6.111934 7.099645 8.410498
2025-03-30 3.233071 3.743132 4.354428 5.155531 6.200656 7.552991 9.498968
2025-04-06 2.940526 3.472369 4.130232 5.025095 6.246785 7.916506 10.492076
2025-04-13 2.715772 3.257596 3.944987 4.908985 6.276235 8.235676 11.453947
2025-04-20 2.555854 3.108645 3.826007 4.860400 6.380585 8.660566 12.647089
2025-04-27 2.476502 3.056148 3.826525 4.971006 6.719924 9.481350 14.679317
2025-05-04 2.408021 3.011122 3.830418 5.081990 7.067295 10.365019 17.063822
2025-05-11 2.309714 2.917530 3.757295 5.068474 7.211331 10.922267 18.969741
2025-05-18 2.220349 2.830200 3.685726 5.048480 7.338361 11.464748 21.012898
2025-05-25 2.104573 2.698923 3.541285 4.901385 7.230895 11.547494 22.017552
2025-06-01 2.007794 2.589954 3.423285 4.786797 7.166794 11.702729 23.255749
2025-06-08 1.932178 2.512129 3.353525 4.755392 7.267213 12.248016 25.873587
2025-06-15 1.889460 2.480827 3.353349 4.840887 7.597888 13.360520 30.781254
2025-06-22 1.801905 2.378493 3.237048 4.719430 7.519364 13.551206 32.915889
2025-06-29 1.723031 2.285451 3.129971 4.605259 7.441410 13.728953 35.144512
2025-07-06 1.652915 2.202462 3.034206 4.503360 7.375885 13.924413 37.601457
2025-07-13 1.600472 2.144040 2.974443 4.460671 7.426227 14.421898 41.716403
2025-07-20 1.580363 2.134053 2.991801 4.557818 7.781512 15.806545 51.371009
2025-07-27 1.561221 2.124439 3.008800 4.655156 8.151227 17.350218 64.348496
2025-08-03 1.522633 2.082565 2.969757 4.643309 8.273926 18.208813 74.782458
2025-08-10 1.485343 2.041226 2.929445 4.625781 8.381264 19.056497 87.087290
2025-08-17 1.430436 1.969906 2.835126 4.496685 8.208944 18.946768 91.185042